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Min Thresholds

The results-based cut: minimum MAR, CAGR, win rate and confluence, and a maximum drawdown — every threshold slider explained.

Min Thresholds are the second half of narrowing: where Filters select by what a strategy is, thresholds select by what it did over the selected period. The panel is collapsed by default — click Min Thresholds under the filters to expand it.

The Min Thresholds toggle sits below the filter rows

All thresholds start neutral (nothing filtered) and only take effect when you move them.

The sliders

ThresholdRangeWhat it floors (or caps)
Min MAR0–50, steps of 0.1MAR = CAGR ÷ Max Drawdown over the period — return per unit of drawdown pain. The workhorse threshold: a floor of 1.5–2.0 already removes most of the catalog.
Min CAGR (%)0–80Compound annual growth rate. Note that CAGR alone says nothing about the path — pair it with the drawdown cap.
Max Drawdown (%)0–10, steps of 0.5The cap: deepest peak-to-trough decline allowed. At its default (10%) it filters nothing.
Min Confluence (0–5)0–5, steps of 0.5Neighbourhood robustness — see below.
Min Win %0–100Per-trade win rate floor. High win rates are typical for credit spreads; the stop-loss level shapes what a "loss" costs.

Confluence, properly explained

Confluence answers one question: do this strategy's parameter neighbours confirm its result, or is it an isolated spike?

For the 10 nearest parameter neighbours (entry time ±3 steps, premium ±2 steps, same width and stop loss), each neighbour contributes up to 1 point depending on how its MAR compares to this strategy's MAR; missing neighbours count half. The sum is scaled to a 0–5 score:

  • ≥ 4 — the neighbourhood confirms the result: nearby parameter sets perform comparably, so the result is less likely to be a "magic minute".
  • 2–4 — mixed neighbourhood.
  • < 2 — an isolated result its neighbours don't confirm. With 200,000+ variants, some parameter combination will always look spectacular by chance; low confluence is the tell.

Setting Min Confluence to 3+ is the cheapest robustness filter in the Browser: it costs you the lottery tickets and keeps the setups whose whole neighbourhood worked.

A workflow that holds up

  1. Filter parameters first (width, stop, premium, entry window).
  2. Floor MAR moderately (1.5+), cap drawdown where you can honestly sit through it.
  3. Add Min Confluence 3+ to drop isolated spikes.
  4. Only then sort and shortlist — the ordering reflects the statistic you sort by, not a recommendation.

Disclaimer

Cashflow Engine is analytics and educational software — not financial advice, and not an investment adviser, broker, or signal service. It issues no buy or sell recommendations and never holds or manages your money. Trading options carries substantial risk, including the loss of your entire investment. All backtests, simulations, and performance figures are hypothetical, are shown for research purposes, and do not indicate future results. Do your own research, understand the risks, and consult a licensed professional where appropriate. Your account, your decisions, your responsibility.

Cashflow Engine · Sheridan, WY · terminal@cashflowengine.io